Performance appraisal is an important topic in FR, Financial Reporting. This article is intended to give candidates some guidance as to what is expected from a good answer to performance appraisal questions and how to approach such questions. The scenario of a performance appraisal question can take many forms.
Vertical or trend analysis
A company's performance may be compared to its previous period's performance. Past results may be adjusted for the effects of price changes. This is referred to as trend or vertical analysis. A weakness of this type of comparison is that there are no independent benchmarks to determine whether the chosen company's current year results are good or bad. Just because a company's results are better than its results in the previous financial period does not mean the results are good. It may be that its results in the prior year were particularly poor.
To try to overcome the problem of vertical analysis, it is common to compare a company's performance for a particular period with the performance of an equivalent company for the same period. This introduces an independent yardstick to the comparison. However, it is important to pick a similar sized company that operates in the same industry. Again, this type of analysis is not without criticism as it may be that the company selected as a comparator may have performed particularly well or particularly poorly.
Industry average comparison
This type of analysis compares a company's results (ratios) to a compilation of the average of many other similar types of company. Such schemes are often operated on a subscription basis whereby subscribing companies calculate specified ratios and submit them to the scheme. In return they receive the average of the same ratios from all equivalent companies in the scheme. This has the advantage of anonymity and avoids the bias of selecting a single company.
The context of the analysis needs to be kept in mind. You may be asked to compare two companies as a basis for selecting one (presumably the better performing one) for an acquisition. Alternatively, a shareholder may be asking for advice on how their investment in a company has performed. A bank may be considering offering a loan to a company and requires advice. It may be that your chief executive asks for your opinion (as say the chief financial accountant) on your company's results.
Most questions on this topic will have information in the scenario that requires particular consideration. A common complaint from markers is that candidates often make no reference to such circumstances. In effect, the same answer would be given regardless of what the question said. It is worth noting that there are many 'clues' in the question - ignore them at your peril. Examples of such circumstance include:
Related party relationships and transactions: these have the potential to distort the results of a company (either favourably or unfavourably). Examples of related party transactions are:
A company may have entered into certain arrangements that mean its previous results are not directly comparable with its current results. Examples of this include:
The possibilities of what might have happened are almost infinite, but what is important is that where the scenario describes events such as those described above, you must take them into consideration when preparing your answer.
Most performance appraisal is based on interpreting various comparative ratios. Some questions will leave it for you to decide which ratios to calculate, other questions may specify which ratios have to be calculated. However, some questions may give you ratios such that the majority of marks are for the analysis and interpretation of them.
Another common complaint of markers is that when candidates are left to decide which ratios to calculate, they calculate far too many, thus spending very little time on their interpretation. Even in questions where there are marks available for calculating ratios, the majority of marks will still be for their interpretation.
Lack of interpretation/analysis
By far the most common complaint by markers is that candidates' comments explaining the movement or differences in reported ratios lack any depth or commercial understanding. A typical comment may be that receivables collection has improved from 60 days to 40 days. Such a comment does not constitute interpretation - it is a statement of fact. To say a ratio has gone up or down is not helpful or meaningful.
What is required from a good answer are the possible reasons as to why the ratio has changed. There may be many reasons why a ratio has changed and no-one can be certain as to exactly what has caused the change. All that is required are plausible explanations for the changes. Even if they are not the actual cause, marks will be awarded. There is no single correct answer to an interpretation question, and remember there may be clues in the scenario that would account for some of the changes in the ratios.
In an exam there is a (time) limit to the amount of ratios that may be calculated. A structured approach is useful where the question does not specify which ratios to calculate:
Suggested structure to a typical answer
Comment on company performance in the following areas:
The primary measure of profitability is normally considered to be the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE):
(Profit before interest and tax/shareholders funds plus long-term borrowings) x 100
This is probably the most important single ratio, but it is open to manipulation. Secondary ratios indicate why the ROCE has changed because Profit margin x Asset turnover = ROCE:
For example, an improvement in the ROCE is either because of improved margins or better use of assets. Increases may be due to increases in selling prices or reductions in manufacturing (or purchased) costs. They may also be caused by changes in sales mix or inventory counting errors. A change in the net profit margin is a measure of how well a company has controlled overheads. The asset utilisation ratio (sales/net assets) shows how efficiently the assets are being used.
Current ratio: current assets/current liabilities. Ideally it is thought that this should be significantly above 1 to 1, but it can vary depending upon the market sector (eg retailers have relatively few receivables so the current, and quick, ratios may be meaningless for such businesses).
Quick ratio (or acid test): current assets less inventory/current liabilities. This is expected to be at least 1 to 1. If the above liquidity ratios appear to be outside 'normal ranges' further investigation is required and inventory, receivables, and payables ratios should be looked at. These ratios can be calculated either as time periods (eg 'days') or as turnovers.
Receivables collection period (in days): (trade receivables/credit sales) x 365
Inventory turnover period: (average or closing) inventory/cost of sales x 365
Payables payment period (in weeks): (trade payables/purchases on credit*) x 52
*Note: you may have to use cost of sales if purchases figure is not available.
Comments on the above ratios
Receivables collection period – when too high, it may be that some bad debts have not been provided for, or an indication of worsening credit control. It may also be deliberate, eg the company has decided to offer three-months' credit in the current year, instead of two as in previous years. It may do this to try to stimulate higher sales. An indication of a change in policy would normally be identified in the question scenario.
Inventory turnover period – generally the lower this is, the better. If it is high, it may be an indication of obsolete stock or poor sales achievement. Sales may have fallen (perhaps due to an economic recession), but the company has been slow to cut back on production, resulting in a build up of inventory levels.
Payables payment period - if this is low, credit suppliers are being paid relatively early or there may be unrecorded payables. Although the credit period may represent a source of 'free' borrowing, if it is too high it may be an indication of poor liquidity (perhaps at the overdraft limit), and there may be a danger of further or renewed credit being refused by suppliers.
Liquidity problems may also be caused by 'overtrading'. In some ways this is a symptom of the success of the business because it has expanded operations rapidly without the resources or finances to support the expansion which means the working capital and cash flows is overstretched. It is usually a lack of adequate financing and may be solved by an injection of capital.
This is a far more important ratio than most candidates seem to be aware of. Company directors often spend a great deal of time and money to make this ratio appear in line with acceptable levels.
Its main importance is that as borrowings rise, risk increases (in many ways) and as such, further borrowing is difficult and expensive. Many companies have limits to the amount of borrowings they are permitted to have. These may be in the form of debt covenants imposed by lenders or they may be contained in a company's Articles, such as a multiple of shareholders funds. Again this may be mentioned in the question scenario and is something you should comment on.
Measures of gearing
Gearing is basically a comparison of debt to equity. Preference shares are usually treated as debt for this purpose. There are two alternatives: Debt/equity or Debt/debt + equity.
In any comparison of gearing it is important to use the same basis to calculate the gearing percentage in order for any interpretation to be meaningful. A question often asked is what level should a company's gearing be? There is no easy answer to this - a lot will depend on the nature of the industry and composition of the balance sheet assets. For example, companies with large property portfolios often have high levels of gearing without it troubling investors. But companies that have large amounts of intangible assets are not considered to have a desirable type of security to support large borrowings. It is important that the effect of debt is understood.
Realm is financed by $5m 10% preference shares, and $5m equity.
Calculate the return to each provider of finance if Realm's profits are:
|% return on equity||10%||16%||4%|
Note that when profits increase by 30%, the increase in the return to equity shareholders is double this increase (a 16% return is 60% higher than a 10% return). However, the down side is that when profits fall by 30%, the reverse applies. The existence of debt increases the risks (favourable and unfavourable) to the equity shareholders. By contrast, the return to preference shareholders is 10% at all levels profit.
Earnings per share
In isolation, this ratio is meaningless for inter-company comparisons. Its major usefulness is as part of the P/E ratio, and as a measure of profit trends.
This is calculated by dividing a company's market price by its EPS. Say the price of a company's shares is $2.40, and its last reported EPS was 20c. It would have a P/E ratio of 12. The mechanics of the movement of a company's P/E ratio are complex, but if this company's EPS improved to 24c in the following year, it would not mean that its P/E ratio would be calculated as 10 ($2.40/24c). It is more likely that its share price would increase such that it maintained or even improved its P/E ratio. If the share price increased to say $2.88, the P/E ratio would remain at 12 ($2.88/24c). This demonstrates the real importance of EPS in the way it has a major influence on a company's share price.
This is a relatively 'old' ratio which has been superseded by the P/E ratio. It is in fact its reciprocal. Earnings yield is the EPS/share price x 100. In the above example, a P/E ratio of 12 would be equivalent to an earnings yield of 8.3%.
This is similar to the above except that the dividend per share is substituted for the EPS. It is a crude measure of the return to shareholders, but it does ignore capital growth which is often much higher than the return for dividends.
This is the number of times the current year's dividend could have paid out of the current year's profit available to ordinary shareholders. It is a measure of security. A high figure indicates high levels of security. In other words, profits in future years could fall substantially and the company would still be able to pay the current level of dividends. An alternative view of a high dividend cover is that it indicates that the company operates a low dividend distribution policy.
Realm has 5 million ordinary shares of 25c each in issue. The stock market price of the shares just before its year end is $3.00 each. The dividend yield for companies in the same sector as Realm is 5%. Realm has paid an interim dividend of $200,000, and its profit for the year is $1,250,000.
i. the final dividend (in cents per share) to be declared such that Realm's dividend yield would equal its market sector
ii. Realm's P/E ratio
iii. Realm's dividend cover.
i. A dividend yield of 5% of a share price of $3.00 would be achieved if total dividends for the period were 15c ((15/300) x 100 = 5%). An interim dividend of $200,000 on 5 million shares would be 4c per share. Thus the final dividend would need to be 11c per share.
ii. Profits of $1,250,000 on 5 million shares gives an EPS of 25c ($1,250,000/5 million). The P/E ratio would be calculated as 12 (300c/25c)
iii. Dividends of 15c per share from earnings of 25c per share would give a dividend cover of 1.67 times (25c/15c).
In conclusion, candidates may be required to explain the weaknesses or limitations of ratio analysis. As a summary, it may be useful to read and work through a question (Example 3). The first section of the answer deals with the limitations of ratios.
Comparator assembles computer equipment from bought in components and distributes them to various wholesalers and retailers. It has recently subscribed to an inter-firm comparison service.
Members submit accounting ratios as specified by the operator of the service, and in return, members receive the average figures for each of the specified ratios taken from all of the companies in the same sector that subscribe to the service.
The specified ratios and the average figures for Comparator's sector are shown overleaf.
|Return on capital employed||22.1%|
|Net assets turnover||1.8 times|
|Gross profit margin||30%|
|Net profit (before tax) margin||12.5%|
|Inventory holding period||46 days|
|Receivables collection period||45 days|
|Payables payment period||55 days|
|Debt to equity||40%|
|Dividend cover||3 times|
Comparator's financial statements for the year to 30 September 20X3 are set out below:
|Cost of sales||(1,870)|
|Other operating expenses||(215)|
|Profit before taxation||186|
|Profit for the year||96|
|Non-current assets (note i)||$000||£000|
|Ordinary shares (25c each)||150|
|8% loan rates||300|
i. The details of the non-current assets are:
|Cost||Accumulated depreciation||Carrying amount|
|At Sept 20X3||3,600||3,060||540|
ii. The market price of Comparator’s shares throughout the year averaged $6.00 each.
iii. Dividends of $90,000 were paid during the year.
A more controversial aspect of using ratio analysis is that management have sometimes indulged in creative accounting techniques in order that the ratios calculated from published financial statements will show a more favourable picture than the true underlying position.
Examples of this are sale and repurchase agreements, which manipulate liquidity figures, and debt kept of the statement of financial position which distorts return on capital employed and flatters gearing.
Of particular concern with this method of using ratios is:
2. Refer to Figure 1.
3. Analysis of Comparator's financial performance compared to
the sector average for the period to 30 September 20X3:
From: A N Allison
|Return on capital employed (186 + 154)/(335 +300)||53.5%||22.1%|
|Net assets turnover (2,425/635)||3.8 times||1.8 times|
|Gross profit margin (555/2,425 x 100)||22.9%||30%|
|Net profit margin (186/2,425 x 100)||7.7%||12.5%|
|Current ratio (595/500)||1.19:1||1.6:1|
|Quick ratio (320/500)||0.64:1||0.9:1|
|Inventory holding period (275/1,870 x 365)||54 days||46 days|
|Receivables collection period (320/2,425 x 365)||48 days||45 days|
|Payables payment period (380/1,870 x 365)(based on cost of sales)||74 days||55 days|
|Debt to equity (300/335 x 100)||90%||40%|
|Dividend yield (see below)||2.5%||6%|
|Dividend cover (96/90)||1.07 times||3 times|
The workings are in $000 (unless otherwise stated) and are for Comparator's ratios.
The dividend yield is based on a dividend per share figure of 15p ($90,000/(150,000 x 4)) and a share price of $6.00. Thus the yield is 2.5% (15c/$6.00 x 100%).
The return on capital employed of Comparator is impressive being more than 100% higher than the sector average. The components of the return on capital employed are the asset turnover and profit margins. In these areas, Comparator's asset turnover is much higher (nearly double) than the average, but the net profit margin is considerably below the sector average.
This short analysis seems to imply that Comparator's superior return on capital employed is due entirely to an efficient asset turnover (ie Comparator is making its assets work twice as efficiently as its competitors). A closer inspection of the underlying figures may explain why its asset turnover is so high. It can be seen from the note to the statement of financial position that Comparator's non-current assets appear quite old. Their carrying amount is only 15% of their original cost. This has at least two implications: they will need replacing in the near future and the company is already struggling for funding; and their low carrying amount gives a high figure for asset turnover. Unless Comparator has underestimated the life of its assets in its depreciation calculations, its non-current assets will need replacing in the near future. When this occurs its asset turnover and return on capital employed figures will be much lower. This aspect of ratio analysis often causes problems and to counter this anomaly some companies calculate the asset turnover using the cost of non-current assets rather than their carrying amount as this gives a more reliable trend. It is also possible that Comparator is using assets that are not on its statement of financial position. It may be leasing assets using short-term leases and thus the assets and have not been recognised on the statement of financial position.
A further issue is which of the two calculated margins should be compared to the sector average. The gross profit margin of Comparator is much lower than the sector average. As Comparator's net margin is also lower than the sector, it would appear that Comparator has less good control over its operating costs. This is especially true as the other element of the net profit calculation is finance costs, and as Comparator has much higher gearing than the sector average, one would expect Comparator's interest to be higher than the sector average.
Here Comparator shows real cause for concern. Its current and quick ratios are much worse than the sector average, and indeed far below expected norms. Current liquidity problems appear to be due to high levels of trade payables and a high bank overdraft. The high levels of inventory are also noteworthy and they may be indicative of further obsolete inventory (the exceptional item is due to obsolete inventory). The receivables collection figure is reasonable, but at 74 days, Comparator takes longer to pay its payables than do its competitors. While this is a source of 'free' finance, it can damage relations with suppliers and may lead to a curtailment of further credit.
As referred to above, gearing (as measured by debt/equity) is more than twice the level of the sector average. While this may be an uncomfortable level, it is currently beneficial for shareholders. The company is making an overall return of 53.5%, but only paying 8% interest on its loan notes. The level of gearing may become a serious issue if Comparator becomes unable to maintain the finance costs. The company already has an overdraft and the ability to make further interest payments could be in doubt.
Despite reasonable profitability figures, Comparator's dividend yield is poor compared to the sector average. It can be seen that total dividends are $90,000 out of available profit for the year of only $96,000 (hence the very low dividend cover). It is surprising the company's share price is holding up so well.
The company compares favourably with the sector average figures for profitability although there is concern over the continued impact of high finance costs.. Additionally, Comparator's liquidity and gearing position is quite poor and gives cause for concern. If it is to replace its old non-current assets in the near future, it will need to raise further finance. With already high levels of borrowing and poor dividend yields, this may become a serious problem for Comparator.
A N Allison
Written by a member of the FR examining team